Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 10.033805 11.814101 13.767530 16.063189 18.679990 21.562597 24.970723
2025-03-23 7.227710 9.676176 12.658250 16.522532 21.358676 27.169544 34.633531
2025-03-30 5.717127 8.483999 12.142578 17.251779 24.106400 32.878232 44.827248
2025-04-06 4.366031 7.110529 11.014772 16.833199 25.114441 36.282757 52.245198
2025-04-13 3.293181 5.857633 9.763641 15.941346 25.212558 38.307891 57.822230
2025-04-20 2.895384 5.534583 9.781976 16.823402 27.836073 43.953195 68.742482
2025-04-27 2.623186 5.352027 9.965542 17.938041 30.862532 50.363548 81.176037
2025-05-04 2.269404 4.949820 9.713372 18.293410 32.703736 55.103238 91.428582
2025-05-11 1.915831 4.471742 9.247474 18.209661 33.791600 58.719544 100.167003
2025-05-18 1.592793 3.982658 8.678471 17.855750 34.360363 61.510029 107.745688
2025-05-25 1.330476 3.561068 8.164717 17.520840 34.897720 64.242915 115.350069
2025-06-01 1.109131 3.178734 7.663721 17.134766 35.282237 66.710766 122.626773
2025-06-08 0.843186 2.638307 6.776451 15.942977 34.194755 66.790174 126.298590
2025-06-15 0.750198 2.510278 6.761132 16.517797 36.500153 72.992186 140.866728
2025-06-22 0.680131 2.425258 6.827983 17.270941 39.218703 80.122324 157.493548
2025-06-29 0.554726 2.145091 6.383775 16.856565 39.577054 82.981896 166.774601
2025-07-06 0.430487 1.823722 5.769937 15.964503 38.851924 83.747457 172.311998
2025-07-13 0.400731 1.799407 5.915605 16.847830 41.913651 91.882080 191.754661
2025-07-20 0.381711 1.806897 6.147712 17.963889 45.564848 101.372021 214.200367
2025-07-27 0.338109 1.710694 6.074372 18.319704 47.582588 107.780650 231.191092
2025-08-03 0.287480 1.568307 5.839825 18.235853 48.606861 112.268057 244.756095
2025-08-10 0.237919 1.408868 5.519659 17.881505 48.972277 115.429831 255.911858
2025-08-17 0.196955 1.267533 5.223781 17.546179 49.341093 118.606501 267.245251